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    Title: 以衛星遙測與灰預測理論分析九份二山地震崩場地先鋒植被之恢復速度與空間分佈
    Authors: 陳建璋;彭嵐霖;楊智旭;周昌弘;楊棋明
    Contributors: 淡江大學機械與機電工程學系
    Keywords: 衛星資料;地震崩塌區;先鋒植被;灰預測理論;恢復速度;Satellite data;Earthquake-caused landslide;Pioneer vegetation;Grey prediction model;Recovery rate
    Date: 2001-10
    Issue Date: 2014-06-13 15:44:43 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: 雲林縣斗六市 : 雲林科技大學水土資源及防災科技研究中心
    Abstract: 本研究運用多期SPOT 衛星資料,探討地震崩塌區生態恢復過程之先鋒植被擴增狀況與其空間分佈'並應用灰理論預測先鋒植物全面覆蓋所需時間。當以線性、指數及多相式迴歸預測先鋒植被恢復到完全覆蓋非岩石區,分別約需5.2 、1. 6 、與3 .4年時;灰理論之預測則為2.0 年,其預測模式為x(如1)=72387. 143e0.4704。依現地植被調查,顯示,先鋒植被恢復速度可能依循灰預測模式。且其恢復過程有約兩個月之遲滯期。
    We applied multiple SPOT satellite data to evaluate the recovery rate of vegetation in the Chiu-Feng-Er mountain landslide area after the Chi-Chi Earthquake. The grey theory was also applied to predict the time required for pioneer vegetation to completely recover the non-rock landslide area and was compared with the results of linear, exponential, and polynomial regression analysis. While complete recovery of vegetation may take 5.2, 1.6 and 3.4 years predicted by the linear, exponential, and polynomial regression analysis, respectively, it may take 2.0 years according to grey analysis. On the basis of ground investigation, the recovery process of pioneer vegetation in Chiu-Feng-Er Mountain landslide may follow the equation of the grey prediction model, i.e. x(k+1)=72387.143e0.4704. This recovery process exhibited a lag phase of approximately two months.
    Relation: 2001年灰色系統理論與應用學術研討會論文集=The 2001 seminar of applied grey system theory,頁B120-126
    Appears in Collections:[機械與機電工程學系暨研究所] 會議論文

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