淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/96830
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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/96830


    Title: Simulation-Assignment-Based Travel Time Prediction Model for Traffic Corridors
    Authors: Hu, Ta-Yin;Tong, Chee-Chung;Liao, Tsai-Yun;Ho, Wei-Ming
    Contributors: 淡江大學運輸管理學系
    Keywords: DynaTAIWAN;simulation-assignment model;travel time prediction
    Date: 2012-09
    Issue Date: 2014-03-13 15:21:02 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: Piscataway: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
    Abstract: Travel time prediction in Advanced Traveler Information Systems is an important issue, because travel time is a major factor in motorists' decisions to avoid congestion and incidents. A simulation-assignment-based travel time prediction model for traffic corridors is constructed in this paper. Based on the concept of simulation-assignment models, two algorithms-the flowand the vehicle-based models-are proposed for travel time prediction. One of the critical issues in simulation-assignment models is how reliable time-dependent origin-destination (O-D) trip tables are generated. A dynamic O-D estimation and prediction procedure is developed to generate time-dependent O-D demand data for simulating vehicle movements using DynaTAIWAN: a simulation-assignment model. The empirical travel time data that were collected from electronic toll stations are used to validate the travel times that were predicted by the proposed models. The mean absolute percentage errors (RMSPEs) and root-mean-square percentage errors are less than 20% and 26% for the vehicle-based model and less than 10% and 12% for the flow-based model, respectively. The results show that the proposed algorithms predict reasonable travel times for traffic corridors.
    Relation: IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 13(3), pp.1277-1286
    DOI: 10.1109/TITS.2012.2190061
    Appears in Collections:[Graduate Institute & Department of Information Management] Journal Article

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