本研究之目的在於透過分析網路程序法以及模糊推論建置出一個飛航作業風險評估模型，此模型表現了所考量的風險因素之間的關係。分析網路程序法（ANP）是一種適應於多準則的決策方式，它是在層級分析法(AHP)的基礎上發展而形成的一種決策方法，其允許考量風險因素之間的相互依存關係。而透過模糊推論以量化以及正規化領域專家所制定的各種風險評估，最終基於實際數據以驗證模型的可行性以及評估其效能性。 This study presents a flight operation risk assessment model by using the technologies of Analytic Network Process (ANP) and Fuzzy inference. The proposed model has a network structure to represent the relationship of concerned risk factors. The analytic network process (ANP) is a more general form of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) used in multi-criteria decision analysis, which allows consideration of the interdependence of concerned risk factors. The use of fuzzy inference enables the quantification of qualitative risk assessments by domain experts. Experiments based on practical data are conducted to evaluate the validation and performance of the proposed model.
