We employ the newly developed ARDL-ECM-MAIC bounds test (Pesaran, Shin and Smith. 2001) testing for the exchange rate overshooting phenomenon in Taiwan over 1986:01-2003:04. The ARDL approach is appropriate to test for the dynamic modeling irrespective of whether the variables are I (0) or I (1). We find the evidence that there do not exist a short-run overshooting phenomenon, which implies that no abnormal fluctuation of exchange rate in the presence of speculative bubble occurs during the sample period considered in Taiwan. The empirical fmding also provides the evidence for no existence of a long-run relationship between exchange rate and macroeconomic variables (money supply, industrial production, interest rate, and inflation rate), which objects the Dornbusch's (1976) stick price model of monetary approach to exchange rate determination.
