A forecasting decision on the sales volume of printers in Taiwan: An exploitation of the analytic network process

doi:10.1016/j.camwa.2011.12.082

淡江大學機構典藏 > 商管學院 > 管理科學學系暨研究所 > 期刊論文 > Item 987654321/80096

jsp.display-item.identifier=請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/80096

题名:	A forecasting decision on the sales volume of printers in Taiwan: An exploitation of the analytic network process
作者:	Shih, Hsu-Shih;Stanley Lee;Shun-Hsiang Chuang;Chiau-Ching Chen
贡献者:	淡江大學管理科學學系
关键词:	Management decision making;Judgmental forecasting;Analytic Network Process;Dependence and feedback;Forecasting-related applications;Analytic Hierarchy Process
日期:	2012-09
上传时间:	2013-01-17 17:51:24 (UTC+8)
出版者:	Kidlington: Pergamon
摘要:	This study applies the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to forecast the sales volume of printers in Taiwan for adjusting the recycling and treatment fee as an incentive for recycling industries. When historical data are lacking and when a broad spectrum of social impact is involved, the ANP, with the capacity to manage dependence and feedback among the factors, can serve as a tool to forecast outcomes by using expert judgment. The priorities derived from numerical judgment are similar to probabilities. They are obtained from the limit supermatrix of the ANP that represents forecasts for the next period. The result of back testing has shown that the ANP’s percentage error is small compared with those of some naïve statistical techniques. Sensitivity analysis is also made to ensure robustness of the model. Finally, the characteristic strengths of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and ANP in forecasting are discussed to simplify their use in future applications.
關聯:	Computers & Mathematics with Applications 64(6), pp. 1545–1556
DOI:	10.1016/j.camwa.2011.12.082
显示于类别:	[管理科學學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

文件中的档案:

档案	描述	大小	格式	浏览次数
A forecasting decision on the sales volume of printers in Taiwan：An exploitation of the analytic network process.pdf		1387Kb	Adobe PDF	33	检视/开启
index.html		0Kb	HTML	27	检视/开启

在機構典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.

TAIR相关文章

数据加载中.....