English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Items with full text/Total items : 49287/83828 (59%)
Visitors : 7150931      Online Users : 57
RC Version 7.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library & TKU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/80096


    Title: A forecasting decision on the sales volume of printers in Taiwan: An exploitation of the analytic network process
    Authors: Shih, Hsu-Shih;Stanley Lee;Shun-Hsiang Chuang;Chiau-Ching Chen
    Contributors: 淡江大學管理科學學系
    Keywords: Management decision making;Judgmental forecasting;Analytic Network Process;Dependence and feedback;Forecasting-related applications;Analytic Hierarchy Process
    Date: 2012-09
    Issue Date: 2013-01-17 17:51:24 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: Kidlington: Pergamon
    Abstract: This study applies the Analytic Network Process (ANP) to forecast the sales volume of printers in Taiwan for adjusting the recycling and treatment fee as an incentive for recycling industries. When historical data are lacking and when a broad spectrum of social impact is involved, the ANP, with the capacity to manage dependence and feedback among the factors, can serve as a tool to forecast outcomes by using expert judgment. The priorities derived from numerical judgment are similar to probabilities. They are obtained from the limit supermatrix of the ANP that represents forecasts for the next period. The result of back testing has shown that the ANP’s percentage error is small compared with those of some naïve statistical techniques. Sensitivity analysis is also made to ensure robustness of the model. Finally, the characteristic strengths of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and ANP in forecasting are discussed to simplify their use in future applications.
    Relation: Computers & Mathematics with Applications 64(6), pp. 1545–1556
    DOI: 10.1016/j.camwa.2011.12.082
    Appears in Collections:[管理科學學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    index.html0KbHTML146View/Open

    All items in 機構典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.


    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library & TKU Library IR teams. Copyright ©   - Feedback