Can Vehicle Maintenance Records Predict Automobile Accidents?

淡江大學機構典藏 > 商管學院 > 風險管理與保險學系 > 會議論文 > Item 987654321/68342

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題名:	Can Vehicle Maintenance Records Predict Automobile Accidents?
作者:	黃瑞卿;汪琪玲;曾郁仁
貢獻者:	淡江大學保險學系
日期:	2009-10-31
上傳時間:	2011-10-23 11:53:10 (UTC+8)
摘要:	This article proposes that vehicle maintenance records can provide useful information for predicting the probability that an owner will have an automobile accident. To test the hypothesis, we use a unique data set that is merged from an insurance company and a vehicle manufacturer in Taiwan. We find weak evidence to support our hypothesis. Among all the proxies for proper maintenance, we indicate that proper maintenance defined by the recommended kilometers is significantly negatively correlated with the loss probability in compulsory automobile liability insurance. The average loss probability decreases by 0.23 percent when the insured vehicle is properly maintained according to the recommended number of kilometers in the previous years, whereas the average loss probability for the overall sample is 0.49 percent. We further find that proper maintenance is insignificantly correlated with loss severity.
關聯:	2009年臺灣經濟計量學會年會
顯示於類別:	[風險管理與保險學系] 會議論文

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