淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/54870
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    题名: An Evaluation of Leading Indicators of Currency Crises
    作者: Su, Chi-wei;Chang, Hsu-ling;Zhu, Meng-nan;Zang, Qiao
    贡献者: 淡江大學國際貿易學系暨國際企業研究所
    关键词: Currency crises;binary quantile regression;probit model;logit model
    日期: 2010-11
    上传时间: 2013-06-13 11:22:15 (UTC+8)
    出版者: Lagos: Academic Journals
    摘要: This study tries to construct leading indicators for currency crisis using probit model, logit model and binary quantile regression. The empirical results show that the Inflation rate, Stock price index, Import growth rate, export/GDP, direct investment abroad, GDP growth rate, terms of trade changes, financial derivatives and domestic credit/GDP have significant effects on the occurrence of currency crisis. The Logit model is better than the probit model and binary regression quantiles which is certain, and the Financial derivatives and Direct investment abroad are useful for leading indicators of currency crises.
    關聯: African Journal of Business Management 4(15), pp.3321-3331
    显示于类别:[國際企業學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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