淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/54277
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 62797/95867 (66%)
造访人次 : 3753425      在线人数 : 72
RC Version 7.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library & TKU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧:
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号",以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻,建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段,可获得较完整数据
  • 进阶搜寻


    jsp.display-item.identifier=請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/54277


    题名: 生育率下降的新成因探討-老年經濟保障對生育的排擠效果
    其它题名: The Crowding-Out Effects of Old-Age Economic Security on Fertility
    作者: 林彥伶
    贡献者: 淡江大學經濟學系
    关键词: 生育;老年經濟保障;Double-hurdle 模型;Fertility;Old-age economic security;Double-hurdle model
    日期: 2010-08
    上传时间: 2011-07-05 23:29:23 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 生育率下降的新成因探討 老年經濟保障對生育的排擠效果 本研究擬探討造成當前生育率「持續」下降的原因。在戰後嬰兒潮之後, 生育率在許多國家至今仍呈現持續下降的走勢。早期生育率下降是工業化 下社會轉型的結果,影響的因素包括有女性的教育程度、薪資與勞動參與 率等項目。然而這些女性社會經濟特徵,在二十世紀末期的許多先進國家 中,皆已發展趨緩,無法再以解釋當前生育率趨勢。因此造成當前生育率 仍然持續下降的原因,應與老年經濟保障政策改變家庭財富流動方向有 關。本研究以台灣的家庭生育數為觀察對象,採用1990 年至2008 年的台 灣家庭收支調查資料進行研究,衡量老年經濟保障政策的實施對生育意願 的影響。本文將採用Double-hurdle 模型估計老年經濟保障政策實施對生育 數量的影響。此外,以工具變數法考慮政策與生育數量內生性的問題。本 研究亦進一步估計實施老年經濟保障政策對家庭財富流動方向的影響。
    This study investigates the effects of old-age economic security on fertility. The fertility rate appears a downward tendency in many countries after the postwar baby boom. In the early years the fertility rate decreased due to the industrialization. While the factors, such like female education level, wages and participation rate, all have developed in the end of 20th century, are unable to explain the current fertility rate tendency. We consider that the old-age economic security leads family wealth flows veer around so that reduces the desire of fertility. In this research we use a multi-year cross-sectional data from the Survey of Family Income and Expenditure to investigate the old-age economic security effects. Double-hurdle model estimation is adopted to address the effects on the number of births. An instrumental variable strategy is adopted to consider the endogenous of the old-age economic security and number of births. We also estimate the effects of the old-age economic security on family wealth flows.
    显示于类别:[經濟學系暨研究所] 研究報告

    文件中的档案:

    没有与此文件相关的档案.

    在機構典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.

    TAIR相关文章

    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library & TKU Library IR teams. Copyright ©   - 回馈