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    Title: 交易限制對股票價格反應訊息速度之研究
    Other Titles: The study on the speed of price adjustment under trading restriction
    Authors: 黃寶儒;Huang, Bao-ju
    Contributors: 淡江大學財務金融學系碩士班
    段昌文;Duan, Chang-wen
    Keywords: 未受限制VAR模型;Dimson beta regression;價格調整速度;Dynamic unrestricted VAR;Dimson beta regression;Speed of price adjustment
    Date: 2010
    Issue Date: 2010-09-23 15:25:47 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文觀察台灣證券交易所於 2005 年 5 月 16 日及 2007 年 11 月 12 日分別取消台灣 50 與台灣 100 指數成分股融券賣出價格不得低於前一日收盤價格之限制前後,成分股股價對市場新資訊反應的調整速度。本文以該事件日的前後 45 天以及實施一段期間後的近期期間共五個子研究區間進行觀察,利用未受限制 VAR 模型與 Dimson beta regressions模型來衡量股票反應市場未公開之新資訊與對整體市場訊息的反應程度。由未受限制 VAR 模型我們可以發現,不論是台灣 50 指數成分股或是台灣 100 指數成分股,在完全開放融券放空的情況下,其報價反轉調整的速度均有提高的現象,而在該交易限制開放實施一段時間後,第一類樣本中的台灣 50 指數成分股 (T50) 的報價反轉調整持續往上升而台灣 100 指數成分股 (T100) 以及第二類樣本 (Other) 的數據則降低。而其買賣反轉調整的速度均有降低的現象,且在該交易限制開放實施一段時間後,第一類樣本以及第二類樣本的買賣反轉調整持續均持續往下降,然而比較 T50、T100 以及 Other 等類樣本,T50 的買賣反轉調整是較為偏低的。
    在Dimson beta regression中可以發現,第一類樣本 (T50 & T100) 於交易機制改變後對當期市場的反應訊息有微幅高於交易機制未改變前,第二類樣本 (Other) 則未有顯著的差異。而在交易限制開放前或是開放後,不論是第一類樣本或第二類樣本在交易限制開放前對過去市場上訊息的反應程度均較該交易限制開放後來的高。且在交易限制開放後,第一類樣本的調整速度確實有提高的現象。
    最後我們採用橫斷面迴歸分析,可以看出在交易機制改變的初期,融券賣出張數與股價對訊息的調整速度是呈正相關,然而在該交易限制開放一段時間後,市場投資人已熟悉交易機制的改變,加上個股選擇權市場的成熟,使得長期之下融券放空張數對股價的訊息調整不一定呈現正相關的現象。
    The study focuses is the speed of price adjustment when Taiwan Stock Exchange Corp. (TSEC) relax short sales restrictions on the Taiwan 50/100 index (T50/T100) components. Furthermore, we apply the dynamic unrestricted VAR and Dimson beta regressions models to measure the impact of new public/private firm-specific information.
    The pric adjustment reversal of T50/T100 has been on the rise when trading restrictions are completely removed. Only the price adjustment reversal of T50, belongs to the type-one sample, however, has been increasing in the long run. The speed of autocorrelation in the trade has been decreasing both in short and long term. The extents of reaction to the market information of type-one sample and type-two sample before the restrictions removed are higher than the time after the restrictions are removed.
    Finally, by adopting cross-sectional regression, we can see that, on the one hand, shortly after the changing of trading mechanism, the adjustment speed of short sales influenced by information is a positive correlation. On the other hand, after a certain period of the removal of trading restrictions, the adjustment speed of short sales do not necessarily signal a positive correlation comparing with the initial period.
    Appears in Collections:[財務金融學系暨研究所] 學位論文

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