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    题名: 6108億軍購案的軍事困境〈2001年-2006年〉
    其它题名: The military dilemma of 610.8 billion military procurement(year 2001-2006)
    作者: 羅華興;Lo, Hua-hsing
    贡献者: 淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所碩士在職專班
    曾復生
    关键词: 軍購;國防預算;Military Procurement;Defense budget
    日期: 2010
    上传时间: 2010-09-23 15:07:41 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 從全球地緣地略、亞太安全局勢發展、海峽兩岸互動情勢分析,我國在國際安全秩序中將扮演戰略要角之地位。因此,在詭局多變的國際情勢及面對中共國防現代化之軍事威脅下,我國積極強化國防軍事力量確是刻不容緩之事。而採購先進武器裝備之質與量,是否依據我國國防政策之指導與建軍備戰之需求,進而達到確保國家安全之目的,為全體國人關切之議題。本文旨在探討我國6108億軍購案衍生之「反軍購」、「反凱子外交」等所產生之軍事困境與影響,並研析我國與美國及兩岸情勢發展未來相關政策之制定,應如何規劃、正確判斷情勢、掌握適當契機,使得我國未來對外軍購,能如國防所需而獲得。
    本論文共分為6章25節,第1章緒論;第2章6108億軍購案源起、過程與結果,分述軍購案為確保國家安全及軍購終將回歸軍事專業需求;第3章國內外情勢與6108億軍購案,探討美中態度與策略及國內反軍購情勢;第4章軍事戰略與6108億軍購案,分析我對外重大軍事採購案,對內對外均牽涉國家,甚至各國的經濟與戰略利益,範圍至深且廣;第5章預算排擠與6108億軍購案,分析軍購案必然使民生、社福等相關預算遭排擠;第6章為結論。首要之途應是化解國內反軍購情勢及美、中、台關係之僵局,其次則須調整武器獲得之政策與方法,並積極發展自主國防工業,最後提出綜合評析與未來研究方向。
    因此,除強化國防實力與軍備發展,繼而如何避免兩岸敵對緊張氣氛,進而謀求確保國家安全之道,惟有深知敵情威脅為何,「知彼知己」利害分析,方能長治久安。期盼兩岸未來在經濟、文化、政治,乃至建立軍事互信發展過程,能賡續建立良性之互動,產生互信互賴之協調溝通機制,共創兩岸雙贏之局勢。
    According to the geopolitics, Asia-Pacific security development, and the interaction across the Taiwan straight, the Republic of China (ROC or Taiwan) always play a key role of the strategy in the international security.
    Due to the complicated and varied international situation, as well as the threat caused by the military modernization of the People’s Republic of China (PRC),it has become an issue of urgency for Taiwan to actively consolidate the national defense, and to upgrade the qualities, quantities, requirements,adequacy and sohpistication of military weaponry so as to ensure national security; achieve military balance; and uphold regional stability.

    This paper aims to analyze the military dilemmas commenced by the disputes on the 610.8 billion foreign military sale (FMS), the status of ROC-US relationships and cross-strait situation development, as well as the proposition for associated policies of conern. In order to complete the analyses of above issues, this paper will be subdivided from the following chapters:

    This paper is divided into six chapters and 25 paragraphs, with Chapter 1 being the introduction. Chapter 2 discusses the origin of 610.8 billion arms procurement, its process and results, as described by the arms procurement bill to ensure national security and military procurement will eventually return to the military professional needs.In Chapter 3, the author discusses the relation of domestic and foreign situation and their influences on the 610.8 billion arms procurement, by exploiting the strategy and attitude of the United States and People''s Republic of China, and the situation of domestic anti-arms purchase sentiment. Chapter 4 introduces military strategy and 610.8 billion arms purchase case, to analyze Taiwan major military procurement with internal and external factors, and even create impacts on national economies and strategic interests to related countries, the scope is wide and deep. Chapter 5 discusses the crowding out effect of the arms purchase plan with 610.8 billion budget affecting other budget projects, analyzing the arms procurement bill will definitely squeeze people''s livelihood, social welfare and other related budget items. Chapter 6 will be the conclusion part of this study, the primary objecitve should be to resolve the issue caused by the domestic anti-arms purchase sentiment,and the potential impass of diplomatic relations among the United States, China, Taiwan. The conclusion will be followed by the recommended adjustment of the arms acquisition policies and practices and actively develop Taiwan''s defense industry, with a comprehensive assessment and future research directions being left on the final part of Chpater 6.

    Therefore, in addition to strengthening national defense strength and facilitating armament development, and to avoid hosility orginating from cross-strait tensions, the only way is to understand the enemy threat, to know both ourselves and the enemy to evaluate the pros and cons, to maintain the long term stability. In future, we look forward to more cross-straght interactions in economic, cultural, political fileds, and even the establishment of military confidence building mechanism, creating virtuous interaction between cross-strait, resulting in mutual trust and facilitaing the coordination and communication mechanisms, to create a win-win cross-strait situation.
    显示于类别:[國際事務與戰略研究所] 學位論文

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