| 摘要: | 中國與東協在2009年8月簽署「投資協議」之後，象徵著雙方自由貿易協定談判過程完成，「中國-東協自由貿易區」按預定時程在2010年啟動。從1978年中共十三大確立「改革開放」方向迄今，中國的外交戰略從過去的孤立與不結盟，轉向務實對外開放，進而積極參與國際組織、希望融入國際社會而成為「負責任的大國」，對於主導區域事務的意願與信心都增強。
對中國而言，東南亞具有地緣政治上的關鍵性。與鄰國的經濟合作有利於彼此發展，更可合力因應如1997年亞洲金融風暴與2008年的全球金融危機等經濟打擊；另外，透過區域整合建構出具影響力的「東亞秩序架構」，則及全亞洲之力即足以抗衡美國霸權；再者，透過合作所帶來的穩定，讓中國贏得發展的時間與空間，可實現其「中華民族的偉大復興」重大戰略目標，甚至可迫使台灣回到統一的軌道上。目前，中國透過與東南亞的雙邊與多邊合作，建構起包括「中國-東協自由貿易區」、「東協加三」、「東亞峰會」、「東協區域論壇」等合作機制，甚且進一步朝向東亞區域整合發展，對區域的影響力逐漸增強。
針對中國對東南亞的戰略意圖與睦鄰外交作為，本文將以現實主義與權力平衡之角度，研析中國上述戰略之內涵與策略，探究東南亞國家及區域大國對中國崛起之認知與相應戰略，以及中國與東南亞的主要行為者在「東亞峰會」平台上的互動過程，瞭解中國睦鄰外交之成效、及面臨之挑戰，並就台灣在中國之戰略佈局下之角色與可操作策略進行探討。
This thesis aims to study the strategy and patterns of China’s involvement in regional multilateral institutions, as well as its characteristics and implications for China’s ASEAN policy in the post-Cold War era. The study focuses on China’s Strategic participation in several AESAN-initiated and –driven multilateral institutions, namely the ASEAN Regional Forum(ARF), AESAN-China cooperation, the ASEAN Plus Three and East Asia Summit.
Since the Chinese Communists established the "reform and opening" direction in 1978, China had gradually abandoned the diplomatic isolation and non-aligned, and became pragmatic, open and more active in involvement of international organizations. China is devoted to integrate into the international community and become a "responsible great power" for the lead of regional affairs. China’s perceptions and policies toward regional organizations have been going through significant changes, from caution and suspicion to optimism and enthusiasm. Beijing now views multilateral institutions as useful diplomatic platforms that can be utilized to advance its own regional policy objectives.
China’s growing economic and military power, expanding political influence, distinctive diplomatic voice, and increasing involvement in regional multilateral institutions are key developments in Asian affairs. Bilaterally and multilaterally, Beijing’s diplomacy has been remarkably adept and nuanced, earning praise around the region. As a result, most nations in the region see China as a good neighbor, a constructive partner, a careful listener, but also a possible regional hegemon and powerful military threat. Therefore the Southeast Asian nations tend to adopt both the “flexible hedge” and “soft balancing” strategies toward China to obtain the benefit from cooperation and avoid being marginalized. |
