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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/32860

    Title: 幕後的NBA統計量
    Other Titles: Behind the NBA statistics
    Authors: 余嘉玲;Yu, Jia-ling
    Contributors: 淡江大學數學學系碩士班
    王國徵;Wang, Kui-jang
    Keywords: 美國職業籃球;運動彩票;NBA;Taiwan Sports Lottery
    Date: 2009
    Issue Date: 2010-01-11 02:52:17 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 我們想要建立一個模型去正確預測美國職業籃球比賽的結果,以此推測臺灣運動彩票較合理的賠率與讓分。
    We want to build a model to forecast the American professional basketball game results, presumably Taiwan sports lottery more reasonable odds and let the minutes. I try to three analysis method to establish a model.
    Analysis method 1: the regression analysis method.
    Analysis method 2: using odds model to estimate each team once what kind of winning the condition is reached, the game he will win, but what is the chance of winning. Or is each team, once you reach the kind of defeats conditions, that game he bound to lose, and he lost a game what is the chance of.
    Analysis method 3: analysis into the playoffs 16 teams in the quarter Cup competition results, analyzed the merits of each team, and according to the point, to speculate on the results of the playoffs for the victory.
    This thesis is a very bold attempt, unfortunately unable to achieve the original purpose; is set up a chance for a game of the model to do. This result is very disappointing but not unexpected that made me too, because the American professional basketball game is to hope that the characteristics of the game results cannot be predicted.
    Appears in Collections:[數學學系暨研究所] 學位論文

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