淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/32039
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    Title: 1982~2005 匯率波動性、金融發展程度與經濟成長:臺灣地區之實證研究
    Other Titles: Exchange rate fluctuation, financial development and economic growth in Taiwan
    Authors: 林珈因;Lin, Chia-yin
    Contributors: 淡江大學國際貿易學系國際企業學碩士班
    賈昭南;Chia, Chao-nan
    Keywords: 匯率波動;金融發展程度門檻;經濟成長;exchange rate fluctuation;Financial Development;economical growth;Threshold
    Date: 2008
    Issue Date: 2010-01-11 01:34:28 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本文使用台灣地區1982年至2005年期間的樣本資料,實證探索匯率波動性(含匯率標準差與匯率制度)與金融發展程度二項因素對經濟成長(含經濟成長率與總要素生產力年增率)的影響。結果如下:匯率波動性對經濟成長有不顯著的負向影響;金融發展程度對經濟成長具有顯著的正向影響;而二者合併對經濟成長的影響為不顯著的正向。由此推論,金融發展程度尚不足以彌補匯率波動對經濟成長造成的負面影響。換言之,就目前金融發展程度而言,台灣地區尚不具備採行浮動匯率制度的條件。
    This article empirically examines the effects of exchange rate fluctuations and financial developments on the economical growth in Taiwan using annual data covering the period from 1982 to 2005. Our estimation have shown that exchange rate fluctuations have negative effects and that financial development have positive effects on the economic growth. The effect of interaction of the above two variables are positive, indicating that the adverse effect of exchange rate fluctuation can be eliminate by the development of the financial sector. However, the current level of financial development is still not sufficient to accomplish the task.
    Appears in Collections:[Graduate Institute & Department of International Business] Thesis

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