美國對第一次台海危機之決策過程研究

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Title:	美國對第一次台海危機之決策過程研究
Other Titles:	The U.S. decision-making process in the first Taiwan strait crisis 美國對第一次臺海危機之決策過程研究
Authors:	陳鈺明;Chen, Yu-ming
Contributors:	淡江大學美國研究所碩士班陳一新;Chen, Edward I-hsin
Keywords:	台海危機;決策理論;中美共同防禦條約;Taiwan Strait Crisis;Decision Making Theory;Mutual Defense Treaty
Date:	2006
Issue Date:	2010-01-11 00:06:36 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本論文的目的，就是探討美國在處理第一次台海危機的決策過程，並依據艾里遜的決策模式理論的來分析美國政府對第一次台海危機的決策過程。在理性行為模式中，美國因應第一次台海危機而設計了安理會停火案，而美國本不願與台灣簽訂任何條約，但為了讓台灣接受此案並順利進行，遂與台灣簽訂中美共同防禦條約，保障台澎的安全。在組織行為模式中，組織確實受組織文化之囿而影響所提供的政策選項，但最終這些政策選項仍有可能被採納成為政策。主導中國政策的國務院遠東事務司饒伯森卻能成功地讓杜勒斯決定與台灣簽訂中美共同防禦條約。在官僚行為模式中，決策者們會因為各司其職而分別持有特定的立場，在此狀況下，各決策者的議價優勢則取決於他與上級之間的行動管道。國務卿杜勒斯獲得艾森豪總統的信任，進而影響總統做最後的決策。至於本論文的主旨則是，美國政府本不願因外島問題而介入中國內戰，但卻因為國際形勢的變動下捲入了這一次台海危機。 The main purpose is the U.S. Decision-Making Process in the First Taiwan Strait Crisis. The study case is analyzed by political scientists Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow in their books “Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuba Missile Crisis” In Rational Actor Model, the United States signed the Mutual Defense Treaty with the Republic of China in order to persuade the Republic of China accept the cease-fire proposal to United Nations. In Organizational Behavior Model, it shows that organizational behavior is often dominated by the organizational culture however the culture doesn''t necessarily lower the possibility of the policy option to be adopted as a policy. The Assistant Secretary of State for Far Eastern Affairs Walter S. Robertson proposed to sign the Mutual Defense Treaty with the Republic of China which is made the Secretary of State John Foster Dulles adopted. In Governmental Politics Model, it reveals that policy makers have to control the action channel to take the bargaining advantages and to persuade the final decision maker successfully. The Secretary of State John Foster Dulles had the full trust of the President Eisenhower, and he had a significant influence on the formulation of the decision. And the main theme is the U.S. government didn’t intervene the China civil war because off-shore islands, but the U.S. was involved in the First Taiwan Strait Crisis due to the variation of the international situation.
Appears in Collections:	[Graduate Institute of American Studies] Thesis

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