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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/30555

    Title: 台灣海峽潛在軍事危機根源之研究(1949-1999)
    Other Titles: A study of the potential root causes of the military crises in Taiwan straits (1949-1999)
    Authors: 李柏蒼;Lee, Bor-tsang
    Contributors: 淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所碩士在職專班
    Keywords: 台灣海峽;軍事衝突;軍事危機;Taiwan strait;military conflict;military crises
    Date: 2006
    Issue Date: 2010-01-10 23:46:23 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 中共自國民政府播遷來台迄今,從未放棄「以武力解放台灣」選項,從砲擊外島、台海導彈試射至東南沿海三軍協同登島作戰演習等,均使台灣海峽成為亞太地區爆發軍事衝突主要熱點之一;然而台海安全不僅取決於兩岸執政當局的政策互動,同時也受制於亞太地區的國際關係,其中尤以美國政策是制約台海安全的主要外部因素。


    China has never renounced the use of force to unite with Taiwan since 1949 when the KMT government retreated to the island.China’s use of artillery shelling,missile
    testing,and constant landing exercises have made Taiwan one of the most likely places for military conflict in the Asia-Pacific region.Taiwan’s security is not only decided by the interaction of the two governments across the Strait,but also the international relations in the region,especially the US’s policy being the major external factor.

    There were four major military crises between 1949 and 1999,which could have Triggered off military conflicts.This thesis tries to reveal the true causes of those crises by examining the domestic/international factors,and cross-strait interactions.

    I draw conclusions from my research that the four crises were all connected to the US’s interests in the region.The US hopes to maintain peace and opposes any military actions by the two sides.Any attempt to decide Taiwan’s future through non-peaceful means is a threat to the stability in the West-Pacific region.In the same
    way,Taiwan’s act toward independence,which is sure to create more serious confrontations,can also hurt the interests of both China and the US.Currently,the US plays a peacemaking role,and it’s policy of opposing Taiwan independence and China’s use of force against the island has successfully reduced the chance of military conflict across the strait.
    Appears in Collections:[國際事務與戰略研究所] 學位論文

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