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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/30402

    Title: 兩岸互動策略分析 : 賽局理論之應用
    Other Titles: The analysis of interaction strategy cross the Taiwan strait : by utilization of game theory
    Authors: 李佩忠;Lee, Pai-chung
    Contributors: 淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所碩士在職專班
    王高成;Wang, Kao-cheng
    Keywords: 國際關係;兩岸關係;談判;賽局理論;International relation;Cross-Strait relation;Negotiation;Game Theory
    Date: 2006
    Issue Date: 2010-01-10 23:38:06 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 兩岸關係的變化,在政黨輪替後有了不同的發展,當我們從歷史的角度來觀察兩岸關係時,我們發現兩岸互動在和緩及緊張間擺盪,似乎有其一定的規律;當兩岸間互動較為和緩時,則展開各種型式的談判協商,反之,則升高各種文攻、武嚇的緊張關係,而這些似乎都與雙方政府所面臨的內、外環境息息相關。
    Cross-Strait relations have made some changes after Administration transition from KMT to DPP. If we view the issue of cross-Strait relations from a historical perspective, we found that it seems to have an invisible pattern in between-this pattern swings between moderate to tension. 月When it comes to moderate period, Administrations cross-Strait hold all sorts of negotiation and interaction; on the other hand, in tension period, various war-threatening and diplomatic-attack happen as substitution. All of this seems to be related to the domestic and external environment of the both Governments.
    An important difference between traditionalism and science behaviorism in the research of social science is that they explain the social phenomenon by using of different method and route. Game Theory is a formal logic. It explains social phenomenon through symbol and a formal logic that is similar to physical science; it is an index of objective analysis for research of social science. Therefore, by using of Game Theory to explain cross-Strait relations, we found that it provides an additional perspective in this relation. Also, it provides a different platform to consider the future of the cross-Strait relations as well. We expect to find out solutions and explanation of the various relations of the cross-Strait through using of different game- models, and to observe the preferred expected value of Administrations cross-Strait, and possible situation/ condition that might be resulted in.
    This dissertation aimed to find out the pattern of the cross-Strait interaction and observing it through the analysis of Game-Models on the perspective of its past history on domestic and external environment; and comes out a reasonable analysis of the relations from the recent years’ observation in moderate and tension period. We expect that this dissertation can be of help to lead to the advantage side to the people cross-Strait by using higher logic in the behavioral science to simulating future interaction of the cross-Strait and to offering some improvement ideas and effective policy suggestions.
    Appears in Collections:[國際事務與戰略研究所] 學位論文

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