淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/30167
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    題名: 「上海合作組織」與中共的中亞周邊安全
    其他題名: The Shanghai cooperation organization with China in central Asia perimeter security
    作者: 戴君珉;Tai, Chun-min
    貢獻者: 淡江大學中國大陸研究所碩士在職專班
    趙春山;Chao, Chun-shan
    關鍵詞: 上海合作組織;中亞;顏色革命;戰略圍堵;多邊安全;Shanghai Cooperation Organization;Central Asia;Color revolutions;Containment strategy; Multilateral security
    日期: 2009
    上傳時間: 2010-01-10 23:25:21 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 冷戰後中共的周邊安全環境發生了極為複雜的變化。首先,原有的兩極體系解體後,周邊多種力量顯現,矛盾衝突日益加深。其次,周邊各國力量格局不斷變化,將直接影響到周邊力量的戰略平衡和中共的安全。再次,在安全和平與經濟發展的國際環境下,各國競相進行國內政治、經濟和軍事改革。最後,建立國際政治、經濟新秩序是周邊各國的共同願望,因為涉及到各國在國際上的地位,利益和力量結構的重組。
    中共的「周邊安全」在時間上具有長期佈局的特質,因此本文首先以「地緣政治研究途徑」分析中共與中亞各國間地緣政治影響所發展的變化,以及美國與俄羅斯在冷戰後的中亞戰略對中共的衝擊;再進一步以「歷史研究途徑」分析上海合作組織的源起、演變及發展運作,對中亞地區安全及中共周邊安全情勢影響;最後以「國家利益研究途徑」分析上海合作組織中對中共周邊安全實際影響層面作為及運作機制,確立中共如何在最符合國家利益的狀況下,充分運用上海合作組織配合中共對中亞周邊的安全政策。
    從本文的研究心得指出,第一,國際上對「上海合作組織」認為虛弱渙散,甚至預言「上海合作組織」將出現空心化趨勢。然而事實證明,自「911事件」後,「上海合作組織」並沒有走向解體,並獲得各成員國支持與進一步發展,說明該機制的各成員國認為需要,並在維護該區域的安全方面是必要存在的。第二,「上海合作組織」是中共在冷戰後的國際環境中根據國際安全形勢和周邊地區環境,以地緣為條件在歐亞大陸中心區域建立的安全合作機制。對中共而言,中亞地區是中共保障西部周邊安全、促進經濟發展、維持政治穩定的一個重要戰略要地,也是外部勢力企圖進行滲透的可能通道。第三,「上海合作組織」是從解決中共邊界問題開始形成,保障邊界安全是其主要目的。上海合作組織的順利發展和有效發揮職能對維持中共周邊環境的穩定,擴大中共與周邊國家的政治、經濟和安全聯繫有重大的現實意義。第四,由於中亞地區複雜的安全形勢,美國和北約及俄羅斯均無法單獨確保中亞安全,目前「上海合作組織」在維護中亞地區的安全與穩定,以及為中共謀得一個穩定的周邊安全環境方面,仍可以發揮獨一無二的作用。中共希望藉由上海合作組織擴展到經濟合作組織中,在經濟和能源領域發揮更大的影響。
    The post-Cold War security environment surrounding the Chinese Communists have taken place in very complex changes. First of all, the original after the disintegration of the bipolar system, surrounding a variety of forces appear, contradictions and conflicts have deepened. Secondly, the surrounding countries in the pattern of ever-changing force, it will directly affect the forces surrounding the strategic balance and China’s security. Third, in a secure peace and economic development in the international environment, competing for domestic political, economic and military reform. Finally, the establishment of new international political and economic order is the common aspiration of surrounding countries, because the countries involved in international status, interests and power structure of the reorganization.
    The Communist China’s “perimeter security” in time with long-term nature of the layout, this paper first of all, “the geopolitical research approach”, analysis of China and Central Asia among countries affected by the geopolitical changes in the development, as well as in the United States and Russia after the Cold War in strategy for the impact of the Chinese Communists; Further to “the historical research approach” analysis of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization of the origins, evolution and development of operation of the Central Asian regional security and the security situation surrounding the impact of the Chinese Communists; Finally in order to “the national interest research approach” analysis of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization on the Chinese Communist security surrounding the actual impact and operational level as a mechanism to establish how the Chinese Communists in the national interest in the circumstances, make full use of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization in Central Asia with the Chinese Communists to the safety of surrounding policy.
    Experiences from this study pointed out that, First, the international recognition of the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” consider weak and lax, and even predicted that the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” will appear hollow trend. However, facts have proven that since the “911 incident” the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” does not move toward disintegration, and Member States to support and further development of the mechanism of the Member States consider necessary, and in the maintenance of security in the region are need to exist. Second, the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” are the Chinese communists in the post-Cold War international environment, in accordance with the international security situation and the region surrounding environment, take geography as condition in Eurasia center region establishment security cooperation mechanism. Speaking of the Chinese Communists, Central Asia region is the Chinese Communists safeguards west the peripheral security, the promotion economy development, a maintenance politics stable important strategic point, also is exterior influence attempts to carry on the seepage the possible channel. Third, the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” is from solves the Chinese Communists boundary problem to start to form, the protection of border security are its main purposes. The Shanghai Cooperative organization’s smooth development and the effective display function to maintain the Chinese communists peripheral environment the stability, expands the Chinese Communists and the peripheral national politics, the economy and the safe relation has the significant practical significance. Fourth, the Central Asian region as a result of the complex security situation, the United States and NATO and Russia is unable alone to guarantee the Central Asia security, the current “Shanghai Cooperation Organization” in the maintenance of the Central Asian regional security and stability, as well as the Chinese Communists have gained a stable surrounding security environment, will still be able to play a unique role. The Communist Communists hopes to expand into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to the economic cooperation organization, in the economic and energy fields exert a greater impact.
    顯示於類別:[中國大陸研究所] 學位論文

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