Faculty of Organizational Sciences, Belgrade, Mihajlo Pupin Institute, Belgrade, Economics Institute, Belgrade, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, Belgrade, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Belgrade
Theories on financial futures hedging are generally based on a portfolio-choice approach. This paper presents an alterative: a firm-theoretic model of bank behavior with financial futures under deposit insurance. Assuming that the bank is a certificate of deposit (CD) rate-setter and faces random CDs, expressions for the optimal futures hedge are derived under the option-based valuation. When the bank is in a bad state of the world, a decrease in the short position of the futures decreases the loan rate and increases the CD rate; an increase in the deposit insurance premium increases the loan rate and decreases the CD rate. We also show that the bank’s amount of futures increases with a lower expected futures interest rate.
Yugoslav journal of operations research 14(2), pp.209-218