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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/24404

    Title: Health Information and Subjective Survival Probability: Evidence from Taiwan
    Authors: Liu, Jin-Tan;Tsou, Meng-Wen;Hammitt, James
    Contributors: 淡江大學國際貿易學系暨國際企業研究所
    Keywords: Bayesian networks;Cardiology;Information analysis;Learning systems;Mathematical models;Probability;Health information;Longevity expectations;Subjective survival probability;Health care
    Date: 2007-03
    Issue Date: 2013-06-13 11:22:59 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: Abingdon: Routledge
    Abstract: The effect of new health information on individuals' expectations about their longevity is examined
    using a Bayesian learning model. Using two-period panel-structured survey data from Taiwan, we
    find that subjective probabilities of living to age 75 and 85 are significantly smaller for respondents
    with more abnormal medical test outcomes and for those receiving more extensive advice on health
    behavior from their physicians. The subjective probability of survival declines with health shocks
    such as developing heart disease. Using pooled cross-sectional data, we find that males and married
    persons are more optimistic about their longevity expectations than females and single persons, and
    that income is strongly correlated with the subjective probability of living to age 75. Consistent with
    previous studies, the longevity of the same-sex parent is strongly associated with an individual’s own
    expectation of living to age 75.
    Relation: Journal of Risk Research 10(2), pp.149-175
    DOI: 10.1080/13669870701191802
    Appears in Collections:[國際企業學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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