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    題名: Health Information and Subjective Survival Probability: Evidence from Taiwan
    作者: Liu, Jin-Tan;Tsou, Meng-Wen;Hammitt, James
    貢獻者: 淡江大學國際貿易學系暨國際企業研究所
    關鍵詞: Bayesian networks;Cardiology;Information analysis;Learning systems;Mathematical models;Probability;Health information;Longevity expectations;Subjective survival probability;Health care
    日期: 2007-03
    上傳時間: 2013-06-13 11:22:59 (UTC+8)
    出版者: Abingdon: Routledge
    摘要: The effect of new health information on individuals' expectations about their longevity is examined
    using a Bayesian learning model. Using two-period panel-structured survey data from Taiwan, we
    find that subjective probabilities of living to age 75 and 85 are significantly smaller for respondents
    with more abnormal medical test outcomes and for those receiving more extensive advice on health
    behavior from their physicians. The subjective probability of survival declines with health shocks
    such as developing heart disease. Using pooled cross-sectional data, we find that males and married
    persons are more optimistic about their longevity expectations than females and single persons, and
    that income is strongly correlated with the subjective probability of living to age 75. Consistent with
    previous studies, the longevity of the same-sex parent is strongly associated with an individual’s own
    expectation of living to age 75.
    關聯: Journal of Risk Research 10(2), pp.149-175
    DOI: 10.1080/13669870701191802
    顯示於類別:[國際企業學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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