淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/19763
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    题名: Analysis of voting percentage in the Mayor election of Taipei by Multinomial Logit Model
    作者: Chang, Horng-jinh;Wang, Chin-li
    贡献者: 淡江大學經營決策學系
    关键词: Multinomial logit model;panel survey;voting percentage
    日期: 2003-07
    上传时间: 2009-11-30 12:21:08 (UTC+8)
    出版者: New Delhi: TARU Publications
    摘要: The researchers in social sciences always use the method of multinomial logit model to the election of public issues. The multinomial logit model was utilized to establish a predicted model for the voting percentage. A poll was conducted three panel surveys prior to the election of mayor of Taipei in December 1998, in this paper, we analyze the information of this election. In addition, we also introduce an alternative predicted method. Throughout the empirical study, we have sufficient evidences to show that the modified method results in better performance than the usual predicted method.
    關聯: Journal of statistics and management systems 6(2), pp.263-279
    DOI: 10.1080/09720510.2003.10701084
    显示于类别:[管理科學學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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