Clearing margin system in the futures markets—Applying the value-at-risk model to Taiwanese data

doi:10.1016/j.physa.2005.12.034

淡江大學機構典藏 > 商管學院 > 財務金融學系暨研究所 > 期刊論文 > Item 987654321/18398

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題名:	Clearing margin system in the futures markets—Applying the value-at-risk model to Taiwanese data
作者:	Chiu, Chien-Liang;Chiang, Shu-Mei;Hung, Jui-Cheng;Chen, Yu-Lung
貢獻者:	淡江大學財務金融學系
關鍵詞:	Value-at-risk;Clearing margin system;TAIFEX;RiskMetrics;GARCH-t
日期:	2006-07
上傳時間:	2013-07-09 15:03:31 (UTC+8)
出版者:	Amsterdam: Elsevier BV * North-Holland
摘要:	This article sets out to investigate if the TAIFEX has adequate clearing margin adjustment system via unconditional coverage, conditional coverage test and mean relative scaled bias to assess the performance of three value-at-risk (VaR) models (i.e., the TAIFEX, RiskMetrics and GARCH-t). For the same model, original and absolute returns are compared to explore which can accurately capture the true risk. For the same return, daily and tiered adjustment methods are examined to evaluate which corresponds to risk best. The results indicate that the clearing margin adjustment of the TAIFEX cannot reflect true risks. The adjustment rules, including the use of absolute return and tiered adjustment of the clearing margin, have distorted VaR-based margin requirements. Besides, the results suggest that the TAIFEX should use original return to compute VaR and daily adjustment system to set clearing margin. This approach would improve the funds operation efficiency and the liquidity of the futures markets.
關聯:	Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 367, pp.353-374
DOI:	10.1016/j.physa.2005.12.034
顯示於類別:	[財務金融學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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