Forecasting Student Mobility Flows in Higher Education: A Case Study in China

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Title:	Forecasting Student Mobility Flows in Higher Education: A Case Study in China
Authors:	Xia1, Fan;Chang, Dian-Fu
Keywords:	Brain drain;Higher education;Inbound mobility;Internationalization;Net flow ratio;Outbound mobility
Date:	2021-06
Issue Date:	2021-12-20 12:10:54 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	ICIC International
Abstract:	This study aims to tackle the issues of student inbound and outbound mobility. Taking China as an example, this study employs the Ministry of Education’s series of data from 1950 to 2018 to explore the issues. Inbound mobility ratio, outbound mobility ratio, and net flow ratio were transformed and conducted using time series analysis. This study applies ARIMA to projecting fitted net flow ratios over the next decade. The findings suggest that generally, China has suffered negative net flow mobility until now. and this trend could extend to the next decades, which further causes brain-draining issues. This study demonstrates how related ratios can be practiced in higher education to interpret the phenomena of global student mobility. The design of the study can provide an alternative approach to detect similar issues in higher education settings.
Relation:	ICIC Express Letters Part B: Applications 12(6), p.525-532
DOI:	10.24507/icicelb.12.06.525
Appears in Collections:	[Depatrment of Education and Futures Design] Journal Article

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