English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Items with full text/Total items : 56379/90243 (62%)
Visitors : 11685890      Online Users : 29
RC Version 7.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library & TKU Library IR team.
Scope Tips:
  • please add "double quotation mark" for query phrases to get precise results
  • please goto advance search for comprehansive author search
  • Adv. Search
    HomeLoginUploadHelpAboutAdminister Goto mobile version
    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw:8080/dspace/handle/987654321/115519

    Title: Estimating the Gaps between Potential Enrollment Numbers and Kindergarten Capacities by Using Time Series Models
    Authors: Chang, Dian-Fu;Huang, Huei-Ting;ChangTzeng, Hsiao-Chi
    Keywords: ARIMA;Kindergarten capacity;Management strategy;Newborn babies;Time series analysis
    Date: 2018-12
    Issue Date: 2018-11-07 12:10:13 (UTC+8)
    Publisher: ICIC International
    Abstract: This study selected Taiwan as a target to tackle the issue of gap between potential enrollment numbers and kindergarten capacities (KC). The purposes of this study are to realize the effect of 0-year babies (ZYB) declining existing in Taiwan, to project the future development of ZYB and to estimate the gap between ZYB and KC in the system. This study selects the ARIMA model to verify the robustness of forecasting ZYB. Employing the projecting data of ZYB, this study calculates the gaps between ZYB and estimated KC in next decade. Based on the fittest ARIMA model and the gap estimation, this study found the one-year model of KC is oversupply and the gaps will increase steadily. The gaps between demands and supplies in two-year model of KC are diminishing in next decade. This study provides a practical method to detect whether it is an issue of oversupply in the kindergarten system. Both predict and estimate models provide useful knowledge to reinvent management strategies to ameliorate the issue of the system.
    Relation: ICIC Express Letters Part B: Applications, 9(12),p.1241-1248 (Scopus)
    DOI: 10.24507/icicelb.09.12.1241
    Appears in Collections:[Master's Program, Graduate Institute of Educational Policy and Leadership] Journal Article

    Files in This Item:

    File Description SizeFormat
    Estimating the Gaps between Potential Enrollment Numbers and Kindergarten Capacities by Using Time Series Models.pdf513KbAdobe PDF0View/Open

    All items in 機構典藏 are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library & TKU Library IR teams. Copyright ©   - Feedback