以可計算一般均衡模型分析川普經濟政策對台灣之影響

機構典藏 > College of Business and Management > Graduate Institute & Department of Economics > Thesis > Item 987654321/114226

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/114226

Title:	以可計算一般均衡模型分析川普經濟政策對台灣之影響
Other Titles:	A computable general equilibrium analysis on the impacts of Trump's economic policies on Taiwan
Authors:	劉豐宇;Liu, Feng-Yu
Contributors:	淡江大學經濟學系碩士班陳柏儒
Keywords:	CGE;Computable General Equilibrium;Donald Trump;Industry Analysis;Policy Simulation;可計算一般均衡;社會會計矩陣;政策模擬;唐納‧川普;產業分析
Date:	2017
Issue Date:	2018-08-03 14:45:41 (UTC+8)
摘要:	自從唐納‧川普(Donald John Trump)贏得美國2016年總統大選，他將施行的政策被世界各國所關注，本研究為台灣建立一個十部門的可計算一般均衡模型，以分析川普的經濟政策對台灣經濟的影響。模擬結果顯示川普的經濟政策對台灣經濟會有負面的影響，GDP會減少0.09\%至0.58\%。對於產業部門，台灣的電子產業、一級產業、紡織及服飾業、化工產業、運輸工具產業和其他製造業則受害於川普的政策。而基礎建設業、食品業和服務業則是有著正向的影響。 Since Donald Trump won the United States presidential election of 2016, the policies he will implement have concerned the world. This paper investigates the impact of Trump''s economic policies on the economy of Taiwan by developing a ten-sector computable general equilibrium model for Taiwan.The simulation results demonstrate that Trump''s economic policies would have a negative impact on the economy of Taiwan. GDP will decrease by 0.09\% to 0.58\%. As for the industrial sectors, Taiwan''s primary , electrical, textile & garments, chemical product, motor vehicles, and other manufacture sector will suffer from Trump''s policies. However, there are improvements in the infrastructure, the food, and the service sector in Taiwan.
顯示於類別:	[Graduate Institute & Department of Economics] Thesis

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