自從唐納‧川普(Donald John Trump)贏得美國2016年總統大選,他將施行的政策被世界各國所關注,本研究為台灣建立一個十部門的可計算一般均衡模型,以分析川普的經濟政策對台灣經濟的影響。模擬結果顯示川普的經濟政策對台灣經濟會有負面的影響,GDP會減少0.09\%至0.58\%。
對於產業部門,台灣的電子產業、一級產業、紡織及服飾業、化工產業、運輸工具產業和其他製造業則受害於川普的政策。而基礎建設業、食品業和服務業則是有著正向的影響。 Since Donald Trump won the United States presidential election of 2016, the policies he will implement have concerned the world. This paper investigates the impact of Trump''s economic policies on the economy of Taiwan by developing a ten-sector computable general equilibrium model for Taiwan.The simulation results demonstrate that Trump''s economic policies would have a negative impact on the economy of Taiwan. GDP will decrease by 0.09\% to 0.58\%.
As for the industrial sectors, Taiwan''s primary , electrical, textile & garments, chemical product, motor vehicles, and other manufacture sector will suffer from Trump''s policies. However, there are improvements in the infrastructure, the food, and the service sector in Taiwan.