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    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/114092


    Title: 指數期貨到期日效應之研究 : 以一週到期小型臺指期貨為例
    Other Titles: Expiration-day effects of index futures : the weekly Mini-TAIEX futures evidence
    Authors: 蕭鈞耀;Hsiao, Chun-yao
    Contributors: 淡江大學財務金融學系碩士在職專班
    顧廣平;Ku, Kuang-Ping
    Keywords: 到期日效應;拔靴法;一週到期小型臺指期貨契約;小型臺指期貨(月)契約;expiration-day effects;Bootstrap;Weekly Mini-TAIEX Futures;Mini-TAIEX Futures
    Date: 2017
    Issue Date: 2018-08-03 14:41:20 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 本研究主要探討以拔靴複製法檢驗臺灣期貨交易所小型臺指期貨(月)契約、一週到期小型臺指期貨契約之到期日效應,探討短天期指數期貨商品,是否對現貨市場在期貨結算時所產生的到期日效應有顯著影響。
    實證結果發現小型臺指期貨(月)契約最後結算日之臺股指數,存在到期日效應,在12:00 ~ 13:00間,存在相對異常高的報酬波動率,以及在收盤前60分鐘,存在相對異常高比率之成交量(值),然而未有顯著之異常平均報酬及顯著的價格反轉現象。
    另外,在短天期商品一週到期小型臺指期貨契約方面,亦存在到期日效應,其到期日效應之檢定結果,發現於最後結算日之臺股指數於收盤前60分鐘,平均報酬顯著異於非最後結算日,並且在12:00 ~ 13:00間,存在顯著相對異常高的報酬波動率及異常高比率之成交量(值),價格反轉方面同小型臺指期貨(月)契約,未有顯著之價格反轉現象。
    This paper applies the bootstrap method to test the expiration-day effects. The purpose of this thesis is to the short-term index futuresMini-TAIEX Futures andweekly Mini-TAIEX Futures Evidence inTaiwan Futures Exchange.
    Empirical results foundthe expiration-day effects exists in Mini-TAIEX Futures. Have theabnormal volatility and trading volume in the pm.12:00 ~pm.13:00 and60 minutes before closinghave theabnormalvolatility, but no significant abnormal return and price reversal.
    In addition, empirical results foundthe expiration-day effects exists in Weekly Mini-TAIEX Futures. The final settlement date of the Taiwan stock index 60 minutes before the close , have theabnormalreturn. Have theabnormal volatility and high ratio trading volume in the pm.12:00~pm.13:00. With the Mini-TAIEX Futuresno significant abnormalprice reversal.
    Appears in Collections:[Graduate Institute & Department of Banking and Finance] Thesis

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