淡江大學機構典藏:Item 987654321/114058
English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  全文笔数/总笔数 : 64178/96951 (66%)
造访人次 : 10367930      在线人数 : 20385
RC Version 7.0 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library & TKU Library IR team.
搜寻范围 查询小技巧：
  • 您可在西文检索词汇前后加上"双引号"，以获取较精准的检索结果
  • 若欲以作者姓名搜寻，建议至进阶搜寻限定作者字段，可获得较完整数据
    •  进阶搜寻


    jsp.display-item.identifier=請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://tkuir.lib.tku.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/114058


    题名: 臺灣機械產業違約風險與經營績效分析
    其它题名: The default risk and operating performance analysis of machinery industry in Taiwan
    作者: 梁朝棟;Liang, Chao-Tung
    贡献者: 淡江大學財務金融學系碩士在職專班
    邱建良;Chiu, Chien-Liang
    关键词: Expected Default Frequency;KMV model;KMV模型;Machinery Industry;Operating Performance;Panel Data;Tobin's Q;托賓Q;經營績效;預期違約機率;機械產業;縱橫資料
    日期: 2017
    上传时间: 2018-08-03 14:40:17 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 論文提要內容：
    本研究選取7間臺灣上市機械產業公司從2008年至2016年間35季之財務報表資料，共計245個觀察值，利用KMV模型逐季計算每間公司之預期違約機率，並透過縱橫資料(Panel Data)估計方法，以托賓Q為企業價值之代理變數來探討償債能力、經營能力、獲利能力與財務結構等財務報表指標與經營績效之關聯性，作為機械業公司經營與策略管理建議與參考。研究發現機械產業Tobin’s Q平均值大於1且1年內預期違約機率趨近於零，而負債佔權益比率、速動比率與存貨週轉率皆和經營績效呈現正向顯著關係；應付帳款週轉次數與經營績效間呈現負向顯著關係；研究發展費用率、長期資金適合率與流動比率則與經營績效之關係不顯著。營業毛利率與應收帳款週轉率亦非提升經營績效之要素，經營與償債能力才是影響經營績效之主因。
    Abstract:
    This paper employs KMV model and calculate the Expected Default Frequency with 245 observations recorded from seven Taiwanese stock-listed companies in machinery industry. By using Tobin''s Q as the proxy variable of enterprise value and through Panel Data estimation method, the study explores the relationship between operating performance and financial factors such as liquidity, operating ability, profitability and capital structure. The information obtained will help machinery industry to identify and improve operating performance in company and strategy management. The results show the average value of Tobin''s Q was greater than 1 and EDF approaches to zero. The study shows a positive significant influence on debt-equity ratio, quick ratio and inventory turnover ratio to operating performance. The relationship between accounts payable turnover and operating performance has a negative significant influence. The research and development cost rate and the ratio of liquidity to business performance is not significant. Gross margin and accounts receivable turnover rate is not the factor to enhance the operating performance. Liquidity and operating ability is the main factor for the impact of business operating performance.

    Keywords: Machinery Industry, Operating Performance, KMV Model, Panel Data, Expected Default Frequency, Tobin''s Q
    显示于类别:[財務金融學系暨研究所] 學位論文

    文件中的档案:

    档案 描述 大小格式浏览次数
    index.html0KbHTML137检视/开启

    在機構典藏中所有的数据项都受到原著作权保护.

    TAIR相关文章

    DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library & TKU Library IR teams. Copyright ©   - 回馈