本研究透過質性研究訪談了九位台灣兒童文學作家，詢問了他們對於台灣兒童文學過去、現在以及未來的看法，再透過未來學研究方法，將受訪者訪談中蒐集的資料彙集整理，建構出三個情節故事，試圖去探討台灣兒童文學未來的可能性。 Children''s literature usually is the first culture media children can reach, and fairy tales are also popular among the children. Due to the special geography and historic context, children''s literature in Taiwan is greatly influenced by culture and language policy during the era of martial law.
When martial law ended, Taiwanese children''s literature was freed from the political power. However it happens to be the era of globalization, children’s entertainment culture from the west takes over Taiwanese children’s minds, the old native story no longer in youth’s memory, and the modern technology even reshapes children’s reading habits. All of this is bad news for Taiwanese writers, thus, how do they respond to this?
In this research, the author interviewed 9 different Taiwanese children''s literature writers, and asked their opinion about the past, the present and the future of Taiwanese children''s literature. With the research method of futures studies, the author analyzes the information from the interview and constructs 3 different scenarios to find more possibilities of Taiwanese children''s literature in the future.