Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition

機構典藏 > Journal of TKU > Journal of Futures Studies > v.20 n.2 > Item 987654321/109287

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Title:	Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition
Authors:	Ahlqvist, Toni;Uotila, Tuomo;Hietanen, Olli
Keywords:	black swan;science fiction;surprising events;futures
Date:	2015-12
Issue Date:	2017-01-16 14:43:15 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	淡江大學未來學研究所
Abstract:	In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse the short stories from a writing contest held by the Finnish Parliament’s Committee for the Future. The material contains 132 short stories. The analysis gives intriguing insights into how Finnish people – from different locales, of different ages and with differing educational and professional backgrounds – imagine different futures.
Relation:	Journal of Futures Studies 20(2), pp.47-66
DOI:	10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A47
Appears in Collections:	[Journal of Futures Studies] v.20 n.2

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