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    题名: Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition
    作者: Ahlqvist, Toni;Uotila, Tuomo;Hietanen, Olli
    关键词: black swan;science fiction;surprising events;futures
    日期: 2015-12
    上传时间: 2017-01-16 14:43:15 (UTC+8)
    出版者: 淡江大學未來學研究所
    摘要: In the paper we analyse the notion of ‘black swan’ as popularised by Taleb (2007). We propose that in the context of the futures’ imagination, a black swan can be defined as hybrid that integrates local knowledge with multiple temporal scales, combining past, present and future tenses. As empirical material, we analyse the short stories from a writing contest held by the Finnish Parliament’s Committee for the Future. The material contains 132 short stories. The analysis gives intriguing insights into how Finnish people – from different locales, of different ages and with differing educational and professional backgrounds – imagine different futures.
    關聯: Journal of Futures Studies 20(2), pp.47-66
    DOI: 10.6531/JFS.2015.20(2).A47
    显示于类别:[未來研究叢刊] 第20卷第2期

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