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    Title: Threshold Effects in the Relationships of REITs and other Financial Securities in Developed Countries
    Authors: 李沃牆;林惠娜
    Keywords: REITs;Panel smooth transition regression model;Threshold;Regime;Dynamic relationship;Hedgy;Real estate
    Date: 2015-05-30
    Issue Date: 2016-08-15
    Publisher: Asian Economic and Social Society
    Abstract: We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression model (PSTR) to investigate the nonlinear dynamic relationship between financial variables and REITs of Japan and US with 3-month interest rate change as threshold variable. We discuss the relationship between explained variable of REITs return and explanatory variables (10 year bond interest rate, real estate return and stock return) within two regimes. Empirical results show that the transition function is an exponential type with region one, and two regimes. In regime 1, the relationships between REITs return and two explanatory variables (10-year bond interest rate change and real estate return) are significantly positive. The relationship between REITs return and stock return is significantly negative. In regime 2, the relationships between REITs return and two explanatory variables (real estate return and stock return) are significantly positive. REITs act as hedges against stock market downturn when the magnitude of 3-month interest rate reduces greater than 0.9886%. In the low interest rate change regime, the REITs behave more like fix income and real estate than risky stock. In the high interest rate change regime, REITs behave more like stock and real estate than fix income.
    Relation: Asian Economic and Financial Review 5(3), pp.426-438
    Appears in Collections:[財務金融學系暨研究所] 期刊論文

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