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    題名: Alternative images of China in 2035: A case study of Tamkang University workshops
    作者: 霍珍妮
    關鍵詞: China;Alternative Futures;Six Pillars;Causal Layered Analysis;the Futures Triangle
    日期: 2015-12-25
    上傳時間: 2016-04-22 13:47:20 (UTC+8)
    摘要: This article presents the findings of scenario planning workshops held on 10 and 13 December
    2013 on the futures of ‘China (PRC) in 2035’ at the Graduate Institute of Futures Studies (GIFS) at
    Tamkang University in Taiwan. The workshops were structured around Inayatullah’s (2008) six pillars
    foresight process and employed the futures triangle, causal layered analysis and creation of scenarios
    to create plausible futures. Four images were imagined: (1) the probable future, The King of the World
    or Next Superpower; (2) the feared future, The Hunger Games (China Threat), (3) the preferred future,
    A New Gaia; and (4) the alternative future, New Revolution.
    關聯: Journal of futures studies 19(1), pp.13-34
    DOI: 
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