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    Title: 從淡水河預見淡水新意象
    Other Titles: Developing future images of Tamsui city from Tamsui River
    Authors: 林育旻;Lin, Yu-Min
    Contributors: 淡江大學未來學研究所碩士班
    陳國華;Chen, Kuo-Hua
    Keywords: 河川城市;淡水;在地文化;未來學;未來圖像;River;Tamsui;City;Culture;futures studies
    Date: 2015
    Issue Date: 2016-01-22 14:46:12 (UTC+8)
    Abstract: 河川城市中,河川與城市彼此之間相互牽動影響,而導致消長與再生的現象。淡水因地理位置的得天獨厚讓城市能見度大增,更重要的是因為淡水河存在,透過與河川的交流,帶給淡水獨特的文化發展、人文藝術與歷史資源,儘管隨著不同時期,城市有不同的發展重心,但不可抹滅的是淡水河對於這座城市的影響。因此本研究將藉由河川城市的相關發展理論切入,探究河川與城市彼此遞變的關係;接著透過創意城市的概念,探討淡水可能的城市發展走向。
    本研究採用半結構式訪談,彙整10位淡水在地居民的訪談,研究結果發現:首先,淡水河始終影響著淡水的發展;其次,發展是永不停歇的,淡水的居民希望透過與淡水河的連結,更凸顯本身城市的特色;最後,在台北都市圈形成後,淡水面臨新舊住民的問題,它會是一個危機,也可以是一個轉機。研究者藉由受訪者們不同差異性的想法,來了解淡水發展的優勢與劣勢,並透過未來三角法分析出在地居民所渴望的淡水未來,最後運用未來情節分析的建構,勾勒出淡水城市發展的多種可能情節,分別為「黃金鳥籠」、「水岸度假別墅」、「智慧博覽會」、「世界遺產」四個未來圖像。
    In urban cities where the rivers and city interact with each other, which led to the phenomenon of fluctuation and regeneration. Tamsui, which located at a Superior geographic position, enables the city become more popular. And most importantly because of the existence of Tamsui River, the city is endowed with unique cultural developments, arts of humanities and abundant historical resources. Despite the facts that there are distinct highlights of developments in different period for the city, the influence of Tamsui River cannot be denied. Therefore, in this research, I will show you how the rivers and the cities affect each other from the perspective of relative theories. Then explore the potentials of development of Tamsui city through the concept of creative cities.
    In this research, the researcher adopt semi-structured interviews, After analyzing the context of the interviews , the major findings are; 1) Tamsui River has affected the development of Tamsui; 2) the development is permanent, and the residents of Tamsui hope that the city can show more its features with the connection of Tamsui River; 3) after the formation of the Taipei metropolitan area, Tamsui city are facing the problem between new coming and original residents. It might be a crisis, or an opportunity. By the interviewees’ various ideas, the researcher classified the advantages and the disadvantages of developing Tamsui city. And through the triangulation,the researcher analyzed what the locals expected to see for their future city. Finally, the researchers used the methods of scenario analysis to present the possibilities of the city. They are "golden cage", "waterfront vacation villa", "wisdom Fair" and "world heritage" four future images.
    Appears in Collections:[Master's Program, Graduate Institute of Futures Studies] Thesis

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