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    題名: 台灣能源安全戰略: 理論分析與模式模擬之檢視
    其他題名: Taiwan's energy security: analytical theory and realistic simulation
    作者: 蘇紫雲;Su, Tzu-Yun
    貢獻者: 淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所博士班
    翁明賢;Wong, Ming-hsien
    關鍵詞: 碳政治;氣候安全;氣候變遷;共賴式安全;國家綠能戰略;Carbon Politic;Codependent Security;National Green Energy;National security;energy security;Energy Policy Simulation
    日期: 2015
    上傳時間: 2016-01-22 14:42:38 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 相對於20世紀國際體系的石油政治,21世紀的國際情勢則出現新的結構轉變,氣候變遷成為明顯而迫切的威脅,使得各國替代能源大幅提高以減少排碳,同時美國油頁岩的產量大增,使美國達到能源自主的目標,更江成為全球最大產油國。綠色能源的增加以及美國原油產量大增,結果就是國際原油供過於求、石油武器不再是傳統產油國的戰略利器,使得國際秩序再次重整。
    Carbon Politics is one of major elements of international affairs in 21th century. Which involves the climate changes, green technologies, international regimes, oil weapon, and even geopolitics.
    It make also challenges and opportunities especially for Taiwan in the new international situation. This island has depended heavily on import of energy to support its economic and daily essentials for decades even it owns huge resources of renewable energy. It’s time for Taiwan to redefine national security and energy policy not only to health for its security but also to contribute the climate security.
    These issues and questions would be worth exploring for academic goal and policy decision. The research focus on new security issue including climate changes and the strategic role of renewable energy. To achieve the goals simulation modeling software was applied in this studies besides security theories review. And author was fortunate to get assistance from ITRI Taiwan, World Bank U.N., Stockholm Environment Institute, and Department of Development and Planning Aalborg University kindly afforded modeling software to help this studies.
    There are 26% fossil energy can be replace and 150 million tones of Co2 cut at least by this research estimate through simulation modeling system. The result is obviously show value of renewable energy should Taiwan invest resource and to choose right strategies. Meanwhile, research result shows international system might come out new face under climate threat, including carbon politics, codependent security, oil be used as a bargaining chip should play new role, and a bipolar geopolitical structure confrontation between sea power and land power.
    顯示於類別:[國際事務與戰略研究所] 學位論文


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