A study of interactions among Russia, China, and Taiwan under the framework of strategic triangle theory, 1992-2012

淡江大學機構典藏 > 國際事務學院 > 國際事務與戰略研究所 > 學位論文 > Item 987654321/104893

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题名:	A study of interactions among Russia, China, and Taiwan under the framework of strategic triangle theory, 1992-2012
其它题名:	俄中台戰略三角之研究(1992至2012年)
作者:	柯妲妮;Komarova, Tatiana
贡献者:	淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所博士班翁明賢;Wong, Ming-hsien
关键词:	戰略三角理論;建構主義;俄羅斯的亞洲外交政策;俄中台關係;美國因素;Strategic triangle theory;Constructivism;Asian vector of Russian Foreign Policy;Russia-Sino-Taiwan relations;US factor
日期:	2015
上传时间:	2016-01-22 14:41:35 (UTC+8)
摘要:	當代有部分國家之間的關係是被忽視的，然而矛盾的是其關係同時據有發展的潛力，向是中華民國與俄羅斯聯邦之間的關係。本文致力於探討台俄之間的合作關係，並進一步的探討台灣的國家利益與其在中俄關係之間所扮演之角色，尤其是台俄之間在經濟之間有著極大的發展潛力與現實地緣政治下的關聯。台俄關係研究的重要性在於能更加的使雙方相互認識，藉由辨識出互動中的強弱方與試圖尋找出雙方未來在共同利益上能合作的領域。俄羅斯不但與中國大陸在國界上相互接壤，同時與北京有著戰略夥伴關係，導因於「一中政策」下的原則，因此，使得台俄關係更加有趣。為了探索行為者三方之間的關係，藉由Lowell Dittmer的戰略三角理論，將三邊關係解構至雙邊互動，使得三邊賽局關係的評估更為容易與嚴謹。另外，建構三方關係必須同時注重發展雙邊與三角關係，才能夠創造穩定的三角關係。值得一提的是，兩邊的關係會影響到第三方的關係，這絕對是影響三角關係的不穩定因素，因為其可能影響雙邊關係中之價值或對稱性。而且，筆者透過研究發現Lowell Dittmer的戰略三角理論可以進一步發展至戰略四角關係，也因而藉由理解戰略四角裡的三角關係型態，將有助於分析俄羅斯國家利益之所在。 There are some countries in the modern world, those relations have been so ignored and contradicted and at the same time have a great potential for large-scale and mutually beneficial development, as relations between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the Russian Federation. The dissertation is dedicated to explore not only the characteristics of Taipei-Moscow cooperation, but examine the new, yet unexplored areas of the development of the process, which is the scope of the national interests of Taiwan and the role of the Island in Sino-Russian relations. Notably, that undeveloped, however with a great potential Russia-Taiwan economic relations forming a sphere, the relevance of the study of which due to new geopolitical reality is obvious. A study of Moscow-Taipei relations is important to learn in order to fill the gap in knowledge about each other; for identifying strong and weak sides of interactions; and for finding out the overlapping areas of mutual interest that would help for further collaboration between two entities. Russia is not only share a common border with China, but also a strategic partner of Beijing, which is following the main aspect of the partnership – a “one-China” principle, which makes the study of Taiwan-Russian relations even more interesting, due to mandatory being learned from the lens of Sino-Russian relationships. In order to explore the trilateral relations among players, the theory of strategic triangle of Lowell Dittmer has been used. Through detaching trilateral relations into bilateral, made the evaluation of trilateral game easier on one hand and from the other hand, more scrupulous. Besides, building the trilateral relations without focusing of developing bilateral bonds among triangle relations, almost impossible to create the stable triangular relations with any case scenario. It is worth to mention, that the relations of each player in a bilateral relations toward a third player is the definitely triangular unstable element in the issue, which could influence on the value or/and on the symmetry of the first relations. What’s more, the author have realized that the theory of the strategic triangle of Lowell Dittmer could be developed into the so-called strategic quadrangle, through stimulating the function of a non-revitalize triangle within the quadrangle could serve Russia’s interests more effectively.
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