The Cointegrating Relationship of Regional Growth in China

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Title:	The Cointegrating Relationship of Regional Growth in China
Authors:	Lin, Chun-Hung A.;Li, Chia-Ming
Date:	2015-12-08
Issue Date:	2015-11-16 15:25:48 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	Since the open door policy declared in the late 1970s, the economic growth of China has been rapidly developed and accumulated. However, the widening regional economic development disparity has been brought to the concern by the government. It is doubtful that the regional economic growth would tend to be equivalent by spillover effects from some more-developed regions to other less-developed ones. The goal of this paper is to examine the long-run relationship of Chinese provincial economic performance with the consideration of the characteristic of cross-sectional dependence in the panel data covering 30 provinces in China over the period 1990-2012. We find a strong spatial dependence over in China’s regional production function. After a cointegrating relation is confirmed using the methodology of Kao (1999) and Pedroni (1999), a spatial error correction model is further applied. We find the local cointegration term is significantly negative, suggesting a long-run convergence relation for the Chinese regional economic growth.
Appears in Collections:	[Graduate Institute & Department of Industrial Economics] Proceeding

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