本文以臺灣地區個人電腦產業10家公司的營業收益額為標的，探索美國次級房貸金融風暴期間內，該產業資本結構與公司表現間的關聯性。實證研究首先採用事件分析法，並以營業收益自我迴歸模型為基礎，估計預測模型並計算代表公司表現的營業收益異常值。其次，比較2008年第二季前後各八季的營業收益異常值，觀察各樣本公司營運表現的差異。最後，採用縱橫資料分析法，估計2008Q1到2010Q2風暴期間內，樣本公司淨值、長期負債、銀行授信與應付帳款/票據四種資本結構變數，估計其對營收異常值的影響，判斷不同資本結構的優劣。 實證估計結果顯示，10家樣本公司的表現不一。縱橫資料估計結果顯示，淨值比、長期負債比與銀行貸款比三個解釋變數對營收異常值的影響皆為顯著的負值，亦即，規模大與高財務槓桿的公司受到金融風暴的衝擊較大。此外，四種槓桿變數間具有高度的線性相關，表示個人電腦產業的資本結構維持同步變動。 This thesis empirically examines the effectiveness of various capital structures in coping with the adverse effects of the U.S. subprime financial crises on the personal computer industry in Taiwan. The quarterly sales of the 10 selected sample firms are examined. The event study method which uses the autoregressive model as the foundation for creating a forecasting model, are adopted to calculate the abnormal sales level to represent performances of the sample firms. Comparisons of the performances of the sample firms during the 8 seasons before and after the 2nd season of 2008 are conducted. The panel data analysis of the effects of 4 capital structures, namely the ratios of equity, long term liabilities, bank finance and accounts/ notes payables to total assets on the abnormal sales are then conducted using data covering the 10 seasons beginning from 2008Q1 to 2010Q2 and regression coefficients estimated. The empirical studies have shown that the performances of the sample firms varies and firms that three of the leverage factors other than accounts/notes payables ratio have significant adverse impacts on the performances of the sample firms in the PC industry. In addition, there existed high multicollinearity among the leverage factors in the PC industry, meaning that they moved closely with each others.
