DSpace collection: 第20卷第4期

Applying CLA to Technology Planning Old “American West Style” Web Homesteading -- Exploring Metaphoric Allegories to Enrich Four Internet Sustainability Scenarios

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 06:03:03 GMT

title: Applying CLA to Technology Planning Old “American West Style” Web Homesteading -- Exploring Metaphoric Allegories to Enrich Four Internet Sustainability Scenarios abstract: This essay examines four possible trajectories for global internet growth through the macrolens of an old American West metaphor. The essay attempts to postulate four possible alternative futures. Sustained growth of the internet is not a given and may depend heavily upon outside factors that involve a rich blending of social, technological, and regulatory, factors combined with an economically viable business climate.

Bewextra: Creating and Inferring Explicit Knowledge of Needs in Organizations

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 06:00:55 GMT

title: Bewextra: Creating and Inferring Explicit Knowledge of Needs in Organizations abstract: We introduce a new methodological framework, called Bewextra, for the creation of the knowledge of needs in organizations. The development of our framework builds on theoretical engagement with literature from several disciplines including visioning and philosophy of needs as well as empirical data from vision development processes we have accompanied. To the best of our knowledge it is the first theoretical work that describes learning from an envisioned future and the generation of need knowledge as an abductive process in a methodologically replicable way. The advantages and practical implications of our method introduced are discussed in detail.

Human Microevolution in Outer Space

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:58:30 GMT

title: Human Microevolution in Outer Space abstract: This article will argue that future outer space flight may cause micro-evolutionary changes to the human body, and will explain the nature of these changes from the point of view of evolutionary medicine. Initial adaptation will be protracted with considerable problems to long term outer space flight, especially inter-generational outer space travellers. The authors examine possible neurobehavioural and psycho-social possibilities for long term outer space travellers due to separation from the biotic environment in which humans have evolved. The authors also develop novel ideas in reducing possible deleterious micro-evolutionary effects during long term outer space flight.

Between the Myth of Development and the Development of Myth: Futures of Islamic Banking in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:56:12 GMT

title: Between the Myth of Development and the Development of Myth: Futures of Islamic Banking in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) abstract: This paper deals with the reality of development challenges in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCCC), and the impact of these on the future of Islamic banking. Using Causal Layered analysis (CLA), the hidden stories of economic development (ED) in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are unpacked. The three narratives presented here are that of the ED of GCC as: (1) Rentier State and Neopatrimonialism (2) Dubai-zation (3) Halal Economy.

The Effects of Scenario Planning on Participant Decision-Making Style: A Quasi-Experimental Study of Four Companies

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:52:47 GMT

title: The Effects of Scenario Planning on Participant Decision-Making Style: A Quasi-Experimental Study of Four Companies abstract: This research examines changes in participant decision-making styles as a result of participation in scenario planning. Results indicate that participants tend to shift toward more intuitive-based decision-making styles after participating in scenario planning. These findings support and add further evidence to previous investigations into decision-making style and scenario planning. To explore this relationship, we employed a quasi-experimental pretest-posttest one-group design with scenario planning as the intervention. Confirmatory factor analysis provided validity of measurement scores and pair samples t tests were used to test hypotheses on the five factors of the General Decision-Making Styles Survey (GDMS). This study documents the responses from participants (n = 170) from 10 organizations using the General Decision-Making Style Survey.

Let’s Talk about Success: A Proposed Foresight Outcomes Framework for Organizational Futurists

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:49:39 GMT

title: Let’s Talk about Success: A Proposed Foresight Outcomes Framework for Organizational Futurists abstract: A Foresight Outcomes Framework is proposed as mechanism for organizational futurists to stimulate and frame dialogue about successful outcomes for the integration of foresight. It builds the framework upon a key assumption that the goal of the organizational futurist is to influence the decision-making process. It explores different levels of outcomes and identifies examples of evaluating outcomes and how they relate to decision-making. Social constructionism is recommended as a guiding perspective informing the use of the framework. With these pieces in place, the framework itself is described and explained, following by implications, conclusions, and recommendations for further research.