DSpace collection: 第21卷第1期

Flavors of Practice: Developing the Asia Pacifc Futures Network

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:45:57 GMT

title: Flavors of Practice: Developing the Asia Pacifc Futures Network

The European Union Institute for Security Studies Arab Futures Report: A Review

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:42:05 GMT

title: The European Union Institute for Security Studies Arab Futures Report: A Review abstract: This review focuses on the European Union’s Institute for Security Studies’ Report No. 22 on Arab Futures: Three Scenarios was issued in February of 2015. The report is a summary report of a larger 200-page book that was published after it was issued. The book is not part of this review, however, given that it is presumed to be an elaboration of the report and, conversely, the report contains the essential points of the book, there may not be a significant discrepancy between the two over the points raised in this review. The report’s institutional affiliation would lead one to expect a well-researched empirically based foundation upon which an informed projection of the current dynamics might be plotted. What is offered instead falls well short. It is useful as a study in the pitfalls of scenario development from shaky premises and limited implementation of forecasting tools developed over the past few years.

How ‘Development’ Promotes Redundant Visions: The Case of the Queen's Wharf Casino Project, Brisbane

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:40:09 GMT

title: How ‘Development’ Promotes Redundant Visions: The Case of the Queen's Wharf Casino Project, Brisbane abstract: Pathways toward ‘overshoot and collapse’ futures are not always or exclusively determined by international trends, national governments, wars and large-scale events. While these gain considerable attention their overall impact is arguably no greater than the constant ‘drip, drip, drip’ of conventional decision-making around more mundane activities that fall under familiar headings like ‘business strategy’, ‘economic growth’ and ‘development’. While cities have master plans and strategic goals most of them evolve within, and are expressed through, a continuous series of commercially inspired projects founded on narrow short-term economic assumptions. They emerge from a typically up-beat, entrepreneurial (profit-oriented) and finance-based worldview that is little short of delusional. As a result, many large-scale projects are poorly conceived and end up working against shared community interests. The central purpose of this paper is to contribute toward a broad re-appraisal of such projects in the hope that future ‘developments’ can be turned toward more consciously proactive and socially responsible ends.

Remember Icarus! Seven Risks that Threaten Business Schools

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:36:33 GMT

title: Remember Icarus! Seven Risks that Threaten Business Schools abstract: Business schools, according to certain measures, have been a major success story in the recent past of the university, enjoying significant demand growth. We suggest that their future may be more problematic. We offer different possible scenarios for business schools and identify seven key risks that they face. We argue that the most significant challenge business schools must negotiate is to redefine and clarify their mission and redesign themselves to meet these risks. We conclude that the business schools best able to survive and prosper in the future are likely to be very different from those that currently exist.

Delving into the Future of Iran's English Language Teaching in Light of Technology

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:33:45 GMT

title: Delving into the Future of Iran's English Language Teaching in Light of Technology abstract: This article examines the prospect of replacing EFL (English as a Foreign Language) teachers with technology in Iran. It has adopted the approach of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) to analyze the data collected from interviews with 10 EFL experts in Iran. The four layers of CLA do suggest that it is unlikely that technology will replace EFL teachers in Iran by 2030. Iran, being a hierarchical, collectivist, and restrained society with a normative cultural orientation and preference for avoiding uncertainty, will be reluctant to accept technological innovation so quickly which would replace EFL teachers. Further research covering a time frame beyond 2030 would be needed.

An Analysis of Queensland City Futures Initiatives: Using CLA to Analyse Processes of Planning and Engagement

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:30:16 GMT

title: An Analysis of Queensland City Futures Initiatives: Using CLA to Analyse Processes of Planning and Engagement abstract: This article applies Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) to analyse critical factors of four influential South East Queensland City visioning and foresight initiatives conducted by the Cities of Maroochy, Logan, Gold Coast and Brisbane. Previous articles in the March 2015 issue and the September 2016 of Journal of Futures Studies gave a prima facie litany of the phases of the initiatives (including the Visions and Governance phases) – and mapped their processes respectively. Conclusions drawn from the analysis in this article are unique as they apply futures methods and specifically CLA as a multi-methodology to create, unpack and explore phases of futures initiatives and the context they operate within.

Using CLA to Deconstruct Current Scholarly Views on Corporate Accountability to Community

Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:24:12 GMT

title: Using CLA to Deconstruct Current Scholarly Views on Corporate Accountability to Community abstract: Using causal layered analysis (CLA), a critical futures methodology, this paper maps and analyses a number of competing discourses relating to accountability to community within the scholarly literature. The focus is on the multiple perspectives expressed by scholars as viewed through the lens of corporate-community accountability. The aims are to challenge current dominant views, introduce a range of other views, and reflect on implications. Particular attention is on accountability issues where the impact on community is currently most obvious. This is business concerned with extracting raw materials from the earth. The scholarly literature is ordered along a continuum according to the level of citizen participation evident and the nature of that participation. CLA serves as both theoretical lens and methodological tool to deconstruct the range of views and enable a meta-level discussion of them. The analysis emphasises the CLA levels of worldview and metaphor. The results are a deeper understanding of the various perspectives and a reframing of accountability by broadening the concept beyond the business case. This suggests that CLA has something to offer both accountability and accounting. However, discerning the value of CLA in terms of moving corporate-community accountability forward is yet to be clarified through practical application in the field. Should CLA be of value, the wider ramification is a positive contribution to the economic world.

Images of the Future: Perspectives of Students from Barcelona

Tue, 27 Dec 2016 05:40:40 GMT

title: Images of the Future: Perspectives of Students from Barcelona abstract: The relationship between futures studies and education is not new, but it is an essential element for the development of our society as part of a more balanced world. The aim of this paper is to provide a conceptual framework that describes the associations between future, human temporality and images of the future. The paper provides the results of research carried out among students in Barcelona, with analyses examining images of the future and their associations with other investigations. Using a four-part typology for images of the future, we describe differences between students’perspectives on the global future, and their egocentric perspectives on their personal future. The findings are indicative of specific activities to be undertaken to maximally benefit students of secondary schools. Finally, we demonstrate that the influence of technological and catastrophic images from the media is evident in these students, leading to a distorted perspective on their own future and their role in it.