DSpace collection: 第20卷第1期

Intuition, Rationality and Imagination

title: Intuition, Rationality and Imagination abstract: For too long a shallow empiricism has blinded researchers to the greater potentiality of human perception. Even qualitative research, which implicitly accepts the transperceptual possibilities of mind, is shackled to empiricism. This paper will argue that intuition is a cultural resource and that when practiced rigorously, researchers gain access to rational processes that extend the sense making possibilities denied us via a narrow empiricism. The paper thus seeks to extend, not over-turn, empiricism, in the same way that qualitative research extended it from the 1960s on. The focus is on how researchers can access the kind of information about the world that we need to foster transformative agency and insight.

Classical Intuition and Critical Futures

title: Classical Intuition and Critical Futures abstract: That consciousness contains non-local properties is a rational hypothesis well supported by experimental and anthropological evidence (Radin, 2006; le Shan, 2013; Sheldrake, 2003). “Classical” intuition draws upon the extended mind, operating, at least in part, beyond local space-time (Sheldrake, 2003).

Learning to Use Intuition in Futures Studies: A Bibliographic Essay on Personal Sources, Processes and Concerns

title: Learning to Use Intuition in Futures Studies: A Bibliographic Essay on Personal Sources, Processes and Concerns abstract: This essay is part of a special “Symposium” issue of the Journal of Futures Studies focusing on Intuition in Futures Work. It builds on the brief summary review of conceptual positions about practical intuition contained in my brief introduction to the symposium (Markley, 2015), and describes the specific sources, methods and explanatory models I personally have found most useful in my own professional trajectory as I learned the practical art of using intuition in futures studies. It ends with suggestions for handling the problem of when doing this type of work in public settings.

Intuiting the Future(s)

title: Intuiting the Future(s) abstract: My own encounter with intuition as a legitimate way of knowing came from the works of P.R. Sarkar. Following the Tantric tradition, in my limited understanding, he argued that intuition develops once the intellect is pointed, reached its pinnacle. By this, he meant that once the intellect is focused – like a laser – intuition can further develop. Intellect is a necessary factory, thus, in the development of intuition (Inayatullah, 2002; Inayatullah, 1999; Inayatullah and Fitzgerald, 1999).

Intuition and Evolution – How I Find It Essential to Use Intuition in My Futures Work

title: Intuition and Evolution – How I Find It Essential to Use Intuition in My Futures Work abstract: It is my experience that the mental figuring it out mind works most effectively when the higher or intuitive mind receives inspiration, guidance, and insights to enhance the rational mind. It is the combination of intuition and testing out that intuition in research and action that has worked for me.

Applying Intuitive Methods in Explorations of Preferred Futures

title: Applying Intuitive Methods in Explorations of Preferred Futures abstract: Western Industrial culture has trained us to ignore our inner knowing and intuitive senses in favor of purely “rational” thought processes. Yet one of the major shifts we’re experiencing in this culture today is an increasing acceptance of the validity of intuitive awareness. The root meaning of the word Intuition is “teaching from within,” and elders and spiritual teachers across the ages have stated that much of what we really need to know about ourselves and the world around us can be learned more effectively by “going within” than by listening to others. An exploration of the literature – both experimental and experiential – provides a few simple principles which encourage consistency in this kind of intuitive awareness. Applying these principles on a regular basis has been demonstrated anecdotally, and appears experimentally, to provide significant enhancement of analytical decision-making processes and can therefore lead to more effective implementation of plans for the future.

The Inner Game of Futures

title: The Inner Game of Futures abstract: This essay details my own learning and experiences with respect to intuition and futures studies. The essay is in part an auto-ethnographic narrative that attempts to situate my own personal experiences in a broader cultural context. It also describes intuitions’ pivotal role in both bringing me to futures studies and guiding me within futures studies. I employ the voice dialog perspective of Hal and Sidra Stone (1989) to shed light on intuition’s place in an ecology of ‘inner’ selves, and I also employ the action research framework developed by Reason and Bradbury (2001) to make sense of intuition’s place in an approach to triangulation for futures research.

Introduction to the Symposium on ‘Intuition in Futures Work’

title: Introduction to the Symposium on ‘Intuition in Futures Work’ abstract: This special “Symposium” issue of the Journal of Futures Studies was birthed in the spring of 2014, during a downtown Singapore luncheon conversation between JFS Editor Sohail Inayatullah and myself. As we were sharing some of the proudest prouds and sorriest sorries of our respective professional lives, intuition stood out as something we both had in common: We both confessed to pride about the ways that each of us had found to use the intuitive function for ourselves personally and as something we teach others to tap into in spite of the dubious “political correctness” in many settings to do so; and our sorrow that this essential way of knowing has not caught on more widely as a credible methodological tool for use in futures studies and proactive leadership generally. As we explored ways to rectify this, Sohail suggested some type of a special issue of the journal on this topic. As we talked about it, we agreed that such an issue shouldn’t involve a lot of ivory tower rhetoric, but be more juicy, with personal reflections of how different futurists have experientially come to value and practice intuition-based methods in their futures work. Such an approach was used to advantage in Intuition: The Inside Story, a collection of interdisciplinary perspectives edited by Robbie Davis-Floyd & P. Sven Arvidson (1997). Ultimately, we decided on a special “Symposium” issue of the journal that would have precisely these characteristics, written by recognized practitioners of the art. I reluctantly agreed to take on the role of editor for this initiative, and in retrospect, am glad that I did.

A Foresight Analysis of Pervasive Healthcare Technologies

title: A Foresight Analysis of Pervasive Healthcare Technologies abstract: Inevitably, healthcare goes pervasive, yet its many potential future scenarios are still to be defined. We employ foresight techniques to define some of these scenarios, as relevant for the current and future state of healthcare in Geneva, Switzerland. We teach the methodology to undergraduate business administration students – potential e.g., managers and policymakers in the future healthcare system of Geneva. Our objective is twofold: to train students at scenario building and to develop scenarios for pervasive healthcare technologies and their social implications. Results include scenarios developed by the students as well as lessons learned with respect to the power of foresight techniques employed with novices in this field.

Unravelling the Myth/Metaphor Layer in Causal Layered Analysis

title: Unravelling the Myth/Metaphor Layer in Causal Layered Analysis abstract: This paper investigates how the myth/metaphor layer of Inayatullah’s Causal Layered Analysis is formed, using an embodied cognitive approach. The very way we experience the world, move in it, interact within it and orient our body to our environment generates patterns and concepts that form as metaphors. Language is saturated in metaphor. As we interact together shared metaphors connect together to emerge and take shape as myths. These are the building blocks of Inayatullah’s worldview layer. The worldview that emerges from social interactions of a group of people form a particular arrangement of interlinking elements from the myth/metaphor layer. The worldview informs the systemic layer, which in turn informs the litany of everyday life. Any particular worldview is therefore only ever one within many possible ways of interlinking the mythic and epistemic elements. It is easy to fall into the trap of assuming our particular worldview is the best, or even the only true worldview. CLA helps us to avoid this problem as it problematises the present and find new metaphors to enable us to envision alternative and preferred futures.

Engaging Futures 2030: Futures Methods Transforming Governance

title: Engaging Futures 2030: Futures Methods Transforming Governance abstract: During 2000-2015, Queensland Councils emerged from the darkness of ‘tokenistic’ community consultation processes articulated by Arnstein (1969). The work of community engagement professionals to update Council methods in line with advancing technology and in designing new business models and strategies for the governance of consultations is arguably still in its ‘teens’. One way forward is to continue a linear projected future, with a short-term view focused just ahead, which is still the norm. However, in an environment of rapid change, this approach is far too reactive, restrictive, shortsighted and un-consultative, resulting in the loss of possibilities. This article uses Inayatullah’s (2008) six futures questions to create alternative community engagement futures to 2030.

Internal Crisis as an Impediment to Futures Thinking

title: Internal Crisis as an Impediment to Futures Thinking abstract: Since the publication of The Limits to Growth in 1972, it is hoped that human beings have become more aware of potential crises and have become more proactive to prevent those crises from happening. Halal and Marien held a symposium on the Global Megacrisis in the Journal of Futures Studies in 2011. Based on the discussion in the symposium, this paper tries to reveal why a crisis often leads to a collapse even if warnings about the crisis have been issued for some time. It uses as a case the collapse of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant, which occurred on March 11, 2011. The paper argues that the root cause of a crisis in society is found in the crisis of self-worth inside individuals and organizations.

Anticipatory Leadership and Strategic Foresight: Five ‘Linked Literacies’

title: Anticipatory Leadership and Strategic Foresight: Five ‘Linked Literacies’ abstract: We live, as is so often said, in volatile, uncertain, complex, changing and ambiguous times. The world of the future will demand capacities that currently comprise mere options. There will be a need for new ways of thinking, planning, directing, communicating and managing; with a critical component common to them all—‘anticipatory leadership’. Quintessentially, such leadership relates to the future and is concerned with transforming the ‘mind-set’ of those engaged in policy formulation and plan implementation. Our concept-oriented paper seeks to identify five linking ‘anticipatory literacies’: Awareness; Authenticity; Audacity; Adaptability; and Action. It concludes with a call to the Professional Futures Community and the world’s leading Business Schools to collaborate in creating a ‘Grand Transformation’ in their collective mind-sets inspired by Anticipatory Leadership through Strategic Foresight.